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22 May 2013
Flash: Bearish Selling against CAD crosses – Westpac
FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - According to the Westpac Strategy Team, “On balance model signals and event risk seem to suggest a sustained break in USD/CAD above 1.03 is a bridge too far, at least for the week ahead.”
In addition, the EUR/CAD also seems poised for some downside later in the week. The ECB’s Nowotny, Liikanen, Coeure, Noyer, Weidmann and Draghi are all scheduled to speak this Thursday and there should be no shortage of “negative deposit rate” trial balloons.
“We would look to sell USD/CAD at 1.0305, targeting 1.0150, with a stop at 1.0350. We would also sell EUR/CAD at 1.3335, targeting 1.3100 with a stop at 1.3405. Via options, buy a 1 week USD/CAD put, strike 1.02, premium 0.16% USD (spot ref 1.0270, indicative only).” the team recommends.
In addition, the EUR/CAD also seems poised for some downside later in the week. The ECB’s Nowotny, Liikanen, Coeure, Noyer, Weidmann and Draghi are all scheduled to speak this Thursday and there should be no shortage of “negative deposit rate” trial balloons.
“We would look to sell USD/CAD at 1.0305, targeting 1.0150, with a stop at 1.0350. We would also sell EUR/CAD at 1.3335, targeting 1.3100 with a stop at 1.3405. Via options, buy a 1 week USD/CAD put, strike 1.02, premium 0.16% USD (spot ref 1.0270, indicative only).” the team recommends.