RBA: To take further steps in process of normalising monetary conditions over months ahead
Following are the key headlines from the August RBA monetary policy statement, via Reuters, as presented by Governor Phillip Lowe.
Board expects to take further steps in the process of normalising monetary conditions over the months ahead
Not on a pre-set path
Global factors explain much of the increase in inflation, but domestic factors are also playing a role.
Board committed to doing what is necessary to ensure inflation returns to target over time
There are widespread upward pressures on prices from strong demand, a tight labour market and capacity constraints in some sectors of the economy.
Rate increase a further step in the normalisation of monetary conditions
Inflation is expected to peak later this year and then decline back towards the 2–3 per cent range
Key source of uncertainty continues to be the behaviour of household spending
Bank's central forecast is for cpi inflation to be around 7¾ per cent over 2022, a little above 4 per cent over 2023 and around 3 per cent over 2024.
Labour market remains tighter than it has been for many years
Economy is expected to continue to grow strongly this year, with the pace of growth then slowing
Some increase in unemployment is expected as economic growth slows
Bank's central forecast is for gdp growth of 3¼ per cent over 2022 and 1¾ per cent in each of the following two years.